18th July 2008

Corn Ethanol May Not Be The Best Investing Choice

posted in Investment |
            

Right now, the stock market news is all about soaring energy prices. And this may part of what could undo corn ethanol.

Earlier this year, corn ethanol looked to be in a sweet position. The government offers huge subsidies to the Big Ag companies (like Archers-Daniels-Midland Co.) who produce corn for ethanol. Additionally, rising oil prices were making alternatives (like corn ethanol) more desirable. Politicians were out there stumping on increased support for ethanol so that we could break ties to foreign oil.

Now, however, as things are liable to do on the stock market, things have changed. Corn ethanol is no longer looking profitable. Indeed, ethanol producers are seeing their profit margins shrink as two, rather large, new factors are introduced:cornfield

  • Price of natural gas.
  • Flooding in the Midwest.

Back in January, it was unforeseen that all energy prices would be surging to the levels that they are at now. And natural gas plays a big role in the production of corn ethanol. With natural gas prices following oil prices ever higher, it is costing more to produce corn ethanol.

The flooding in the Midwest isn’t helping, either. Corn that was meant to be turned into ethanol is being washed away, and in some cases the land it was growing on is being ruined by the things that floodwaters bring (toxins from chemicals and pesticides, excessive animal waste, debris, etc.).

What once looked like a promising investment is now starting look rather bleak. Indeed, this might herald the end of corn ethanol as an alternative to gas for cars. Which means that other fuel sources will have to be found. On the other hand, though, some might see it as an opportunity to get in while the prices are low and hope that Congress steps in save the budding ethanol industry. It’s been known to happen with increasing frequency.


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  • There are currently 4 responses to “Corn Ethanol May Not Be The Best Investing Choice”

    Why not let us know what you think by adding your own comment! Your opinion is as valid as anyone elses, so come on... let us know what you think.

    1. 1 On July 18th, 2008, Corn Ethanol May Not Be The Best Investing Choice | Robert Kiyosaki Blog said:

      [...] See the rest here: Corn Ethanol May Not Be The Best Investing Choice [...]

    2. 2 On July 18th, 2008, Corn Ethanol May Not Be The Best Investing Choice | Cashflow Blog said:

      [...] the original post: Corn Ethanol May Not Be The Best Investing Choice a2a_linkname=”Corn Ethanol May Not Be The Best Investing [...]

    3. 3 On July 18th, 2008, Larry Johnson said:

      This was a shallow and silly analysis. Ethanol plants are now breaking even compared to the 80-100% ROI of a couple of years ago. Grain prices have just experienced a record bull market and no ethanol plants have closed. We are replacing nearly 7% of our gasoline with ethanol today and that level is increasing. Moreover ethanol plants are rapidly moving to other renewable energy sources to replace natural gas. The industry is evolving at a rapid rate to provide the petroleum replacement products of tomorrow.

    4. 4 On September 11th, 2010, ecommerce management said:

      This is a really good piece. I discovered your blog from bing while browsing a similar subject material. I really appreciated what you had to discuss. Keep up the good work!